verifiedCurated Strategy
· 32 yr backtestBuy and Hold

Rob Arnott Portfolio

Real CAGR6.2%
Max Drawdown-23.2%
Sharpe Ratio0.26

The Rob Arnott Portfolio is associated with Robert Arnott, founder and chairman of Research Affiliates, a quantitative investment management firm known for its work on fundamental indexing and factor-based investing. Arnott has been one of the most prominent advocates of valuation-aware investing and alternative weighting schemes that challenge the conventional market-cap weighting approach. The portfolio associated with his name typically features a globally diversified mix of equities — weighted by fundamental factors rather than market capitalisation — alongside bonds and real assets, reflecting his belief that cap-weighted indices systematically overweight overvalued stocks and underweight undervalued ones.

Investment Philosophy

Arnott's core argument, developed through Research Affiliates' RAFI (Research Affiliates Fundamental Index) methodology, is that weighting stocks by economic fundamentals — such as sales, dividends, cash flow, and book value — rather than by market price produces better long-run returns by systematically leaning toward cheaper stocks and away from overvalued ones. The portfolio also reflects Arnott's long-standing view that non-US equities and emerging markets offer better valuation-adjusted return prospects than the US market during periods when US equities trade at elevated valuations.

Who It's For

This portfolio is appropriate for investors who are drawn to value-oriented and contrarian investing, are comfortable with non-US equity concentration, and have a long enough time horizon to allow valuation-based tilts to play out. It suits investors who are sceptical of plain market-cap-weighted indexing as the optimal passive approach.

Pros

  • Fundamental weighting provides systematic exposure to value and contrarian factors
  • Global diversification including emerging markets exposure
  • Research Affiliates' RAFI methodology is supported by substantial academic and practitioner research

Cons

  • Fundamental indexing has underperformed plain cap-weighted indices in certain periods, particularly when growth stocks outperform
  • Higher international and emerging markets weighting can introduce currency and geopolitical risk
  • Fundamental index funds may carry higher fees than plain market-cap index funds
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Target Allocation

Static
Global Bond Index(BNDX)20%
Investment Grade Corporate Bond(LQD)20%
International Equity(VEU)10%
US Real Estate(VNQ)10%
US Large-Cap Blend(SPY)10%
Long-Term Treasury Bond(TLT)10%
Inflation-Protected Bond(TIP)10%
Broad Commodities(DBC)10%

Performance Snapshot

How are these calculated? →

trending_upReal CAGR
6.22%
balanceSharpe Ratio
0.260
trending_downMax Drawdown
-23.17%
show_chartSortino Ratio
0.030
arrow_upwardBest Year
+17.4%
arrow_downwardWorst Year
-14.5%
update10-Year CAGR
5.26%
warningUlcer Index
4.35
analyticsUlcer Perf. Index
0.400
account_balanceGFC CAGR
+2.7%
computerDot-com CAGR
+4.7%
syncTrade Frequency
Static
shieldRisk Level
3/5 — Moderate
calendar_monthMin. Timeline
5 years
historyBacktest Period
32 years

Rolling Returns

PeriodLowAverageHigh
1 Year-21.0%+6.5%+26.8%
3 Year-2.6%+6.2%+16.3%
5 Year+1.6%+6.2%+11.6%
10 Year+3.2%+6.2%+8.8%
Compare to:

Growth of $10,000

Rob Arnott Portfolio
Sharpe Ratio0.26
Best Year+17.4%
Worst Year-14.5%
Final Value$70,388

Historical Drawdown

Percentage decline from the portfolio's peak value at each point in time.

Rolling Returns

Annualised return for each rolling period ending on that date.

Annualised return for each 1Y period ending on that date.

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