verifiedCurated Strategy
· 50 yr backtestTactical

Robust Asset Allocation - Aggressive

Real CAGR10.1%
Max Drawdown-15.5%
Sharpe Ratio0.65

The Robust Asset Allocation Aggressive portfolio is a higher-risk variant in the Robust Asset Allocation (RAA) framework developed by Alpha Architect, a quantitative asset management firm co-founded by Wesley Gray. Alpha Architect published the RAA framework to provide a systematic, evidence-based approach to asset allocation that blends passive diversification with simple trend-following signals. The aggressive version maximises equity exposure within the RAA structure, reducing the allocation to defensive assets compared to the balanced variant.

Investment Philosophy

The RAA framework is built around the idea that a robust portfolio needs to survive a range of market environments, and that simple, well-defined rules — rather than complex optimisation — are the most reliable approach to achieving this. The aggressive variant applies the same trend-following overlay as the other RAA portfolios (moving to bonds or cash when equity trends deteriorate) but starts from a higher equity base weight. Alpha Architect's philosophy is grounded in behavioural finance and the evidence that systematic rule-following outperforms discretionary decision-making over time.

Who It's For

This portfolio suits investors with a high risk tolerance and a long time horizon who want aggressive equity exposure combined with a systematic mechanism to reduce that exposure during sustained market downturns. It is appropriate for self-directed investors who are comfortable with quantitative, rules-based management and can monitor monthly signals.

Pros

  • High equity exposure maximises long-run growth potential within the RAA framework
  • Trend-following overlay provides a crash-avoidance mechanism not present in plain buy-and-hold aggressive portfolios
  • Evidence-based, systematic design reduces emotional bias in allocation decisions

Cons

  • High equity base weight means the portfolio can still suffer significant drawdowns before the trend signal moves to defensive assets
  • Trend-following can produce whipsaw losses in oscillating markets
  • Requires monthly monitoring and potential rebalancing, unlike a fully passive strategy

Technical Notes

Alpha Architect publishes research on the RAA framework at their website. The trend signal typically uses a moving average or momentum measure applied to the equity sleeve to determine when to shift toward defensive assets.

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Average Allocation

Based on historical average weights across all rebalance periods.

Monthly
Cash(BIL)29.3%
US Large-Cap Momentum(MTUM)15.5%
US Large-Cap Blend Value(IWD)15.2%
International Developed Value(EFV)13.4%
International Developed Equity(EFA)13.3%
Intermediate-Term Treasury Bond(IEF)6.9%
US Real Estate(VNQ)3.7%
Broad Commodities(DBC)2.8%

Performance Snapshot

trending_upReal CAGR
10.05%
balanceSharpe Ratio
0.650
trending_downMax Drawdown
-15.51%
show_chartSortino Ratio
0.090
arrow_upwardBest Year
+37.2%
arrow_downwardWorst Year
-7.3%
update10-Year CAGR
6.56%
warningUlcer Index
4.03
analyticsUlcer Perf. Index
1.380
account_balanceGFC CAGR
+4.7%
computerDot-com CAGR
-0.6%
syncTrade Frequency
Monthly
shieldRisk Level
2/5 — Conservative
calendar_monthMin. Timeline
5 years
historyBacktest Period
50 years

Rolling Returns

PeriodLowAverageHigh
1 Year-10.5%+10.4%+60.5%
3 Year-1.3%+10.0%+36.0%
5 Year+0.4%+9.9%+27.4%
10 Year+3.0%+10.0%+20.1%
Compare to:

Growth of $10,000

Robust Asset Allocation - Aggressive
Sharpe Ratio0.65
Best Year+37.2%
Worst Year-7.3%
Final Value$1,238,080

Historical Drawdown

Percentage decline from the portfolio's peak value at each point in time.

Rolling Returns

Annualised return for each rolling period ending on that date.

Annualised return for each 1Y period ending on that date.

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