verifiedCurated Strategy
· 56 yr backtestBuy and Hold

United States 60/40 Portfolio

Real CAGR9.4%
Max Drawdown-29.7%
Sharpe Ratio0.51

The US 60/40 Portfolio is the most widely used benchmark in personal finance and institutional investing -- a straightforward allocation of 60% to US equities and 40% to US bonds. It has no single creator; the 60/40 split emerged over decades of academic research and industry practice as a reasonable default allocation for moderate investors seeking a balance between growth and capital preservation.

Investment Philosophy

The portfolio rests on the historical observation that US stocks and US bonds have been negatively or uncorrelated for most of the post-war period: when stocks fall, bonds tend to hold or rise, and vice versa. This relationship gives the 60/40 portfolio a risk-adjusted return profile meaningfully better than either asset held alone. The equity component drives long-term growth, while the bond component dampens volatility and provides capital to redeploy after equity drawdowns. Annual rebalancing restores the target weights and enforces a disciplined buy-low, sell-high dynamic.

Who It's For

This portfolio is the standard moderate-risk benchmark for investors with a long-to-medium time horizon who want meaningful equity growth without the full volatility of an all-equity portfolio. It is most commonly used as a performance baseline to evaluate whether more complex or active strategies are genuinely adding value. Investors who accept its simplicity get broad diversification with minimal effort and cost.

Pros

  • The universal benchmark -- any more complex strategy should be able to justify itself against this baseline
  • Historically strong risk-adjusted returns driven by the stock-bond diversification relationship
  • Simple to implement and maintain with just two index funds
  • Decades of academic and practitioner research support the core logic

Cons

  • Concentrated entirely in US assets -- no international equities, real assets, or alternative exposures
  • The stock-bond correlation assumption can break down during inflationary periods, as it did in 2022 when both fell simultaneously
  • 40% bond allocation may be unnecessarily conservative for investors with very long time horizons
  • Offers no protective mechanism during prolonged equity bear markets
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Target Allocation

Static
US Large-Cap Blend(SPY)60%
Intermediate-Term Treasury Bond(IEF)40%

Performance Snapshot

trending_upReal CAGR
9.45%
balanceSharpe Ratio
0.510
trending_downMax Drawdown
-29.68%
show_chartSortino Ratio
0.070
arrow_upwardBest Year
+32.8%
arrow_downwardWorst Year
-18.3%
update10-Year CAGR
9.17%
warningUlcer Index
6.03
analyticsUlcer Perf. Index
0.820
account_balanceGFC CAGR
-0.4%
computerDot-com CAGR
-4.3%
syncTrade Frequency
Static
shieldRisk Level
3/5 — Moderate
calendar_monthMin. Timeline
7 years
historyBacktest Period
56 years

Rolling Returns

PeriodLowAverageHigh
1 Year-26.2%+10.2%+50.4%
3 Year-6.0%+9.6%+27.5%
5 Year-1.7%+9.7%+24.6%
10 Year+0.9%+9.9%+17.4%

Growth of $10,000

United States 60/40 Portfolio
Sharpe Ratio0.51
Best Year+32.8%
Worst Year-18.3%
Final Value$1,615,927

Historical Drawdown

Percentage decline from the portfolio's peak value at each point in time.

Rolling Returns

Annualised return for each rolling period ending on that date.

Annualised return for each 1Y period ending on that date.

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